Aston Villa, under Unai Emery, are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, prioritizing structured build-up play, technical midfield progression, and fast attacking transitions. While they are comfortable playing out from the back, they adapt their approach depending on the opposition’s pressing intensity. Against high-pressing teams, Villa have shown a tendency to increase their launch rate, but in recent matches, they have remained committed to short build-up play, even at the risk of defensive errors. Their reliance on Youri Tielemans in midfield is evident, as he records the most touches and progressive passes, making him a key figure in their ability to control possession.
Villa’s attacking progression is centred around their midfielders’ ability to carry the ball into the final third. They rank highly in take-ons and fouls drawn, with Morgan Rogers being particularly effective in one-on-one situations. Their approach in the final third is heavily reliant on through balls, as they have recorded the joint-most in the league while maintaining a low offside frequency. Additionally, their full-backs play an active role in attack, with Lucas Digne making overlapping runs down the left flank and providing a high volume of crosses into the box. The arrival of A. Garcia at right-back has also led to a tactical shift, with Villa now alternating their attacking width between both flanks.
Out of possession, Villa typically settle into a compact 4-4-2 mid-block, applying medium-intensity pressing. They do not aggressively press opponents in their defensive third but instead use pressing triggers, such as loose passes, to apply pressure. Their midfielders track deep-dropping opposition playmakers, while their defensive line remains compact, limiting space in central areas. However, their aerial duel win rate is among the lowest in the league, making them vulnerable to direct play.
In transition, Villa aim to break quickly upon regaining possession, moving through central areas before the opposition can reorganize. Their set-piece play is also a significant factor, as they lead the league in shots from dead-ball situations. However, their shooting efficiency is inconsistent, ranking low in shot accuracy and underperforming their expected goals. Additionally, goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez has struggled in shot-stopping metrics this season, further exposing Villa to defensive vulnerabilities.
For Chelsea, exploiting Villa’s defensive errors in build-up play and their struggles in aerial duels could be key to gaining an advantage. Pressing Tielemans and limiting his passing options could disrupt their ability to build through midfield, while quick transitions and wide overloads could take advantage of their defensive structure. Given Villa’s reliance on set-pieces, avoiding unnecessary fouls in dangerous areas will also be crucial in neutralizing their attacking threat.